Monday, June 18, 2007

The Failed States Index 2007


The 10 worst states in terms of 12 political, economic, military, and social indicators of instability are: Sudan, Iraq, Somalia, Zimbabwe, Chad, Ivory Coast, Dem. Rep. of the Congo, Afghanistan, Guinea, and the Central African Republic according to The Fund for Peace and FOREIGN POLICY magazine. This third annual Failed States Index "ranked 177 states in order of their vulnerability to violent internal conflict and societal deterioration. The index scores are based on data from more than 12,000 publicly available sources collected from May to December 2006. The 60 most vulnerable states are listed in the rankings, and full results are available at www.ForeignPolicy.com and www.fundforpeace.org." Foreign Policy, July/August

Comment: I think the failed states differ one from another. Some seem to be mending, while others are perhaps getting still worse. Note however, that there is a strong correlation between the level of socio-economic development and the quality of the state. Causality probably involves:
  • Factors which cause both a deterioration in the social and economic conditions and the failure of the state,
  • Socially and economically strong societies being more likely to avoid the failure of their states,
  • Failing and failed states deteriorating socially and economically.
Of course, the ability of a failed state to attract investment or to prevent brain drain is limited. JAD

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Mr. Daily do you believe that the prevention of Brain drain can significantly increase the stablity of failed or soon to be failed countries

John Daly said...

Interesting question,

It seems to me that it is much more likely that keeping states from failing will lesson brain drain from those states.

I also think that most of the people we think of as part of the brain drain come from countries that are relatively stable and able to produce large numbers of trained people. China and India come to mind.

Still, I suppose the more good people that are committed to live and work in a country, the more likely it is that that country will be adequately governed.

In short, I suspect that the relationships among brain drain and governance are complex.