Friday, November 21, 2008

GLOBAL TRENDS 2025


Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World was prepared by the National Intelligence Council (NIC). Some of its preliminary assessments:
  • The whole international system—as constructed following WWII—will be revolutionized. Not only will new players—Brazil, Russia, India and China— have a seat at the international high table, they will bring new stakes and rules of the game.
  • The unprecedented transfer of wealth roughly from West to East now under way will continue for the foreseeable future.
  • Unprecedented economic growth, coupled with 1.5 billion more people, will put pressure on resources—particularly energy, food, and water—raising the specter of scarcities emerging as demand outstrips supply.
  • The potential for conflict will increase owing partly to political turbulence in parts of the greater Middle East.
Comment: We need to prepare a new generation to live and master a different world than the one in which I grew up. We also need to build a whole new set of global institutions capable of dealing with globalized markets, a global information and transportation infrastructure, global migration patterns, and global problems.

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