An interesting article by Charles Roxburgh identifies 8 cognitive biases that people should beware of in defining strategy:
- Overconfidence: especially in the brains ability to make accurate estimates.
- Mental Accounting: The tendency to account for money differently according to where it comes from, where it is kept and how it is used.
- Bias in favor of the status quo.
- Anchoring: tendency to make new estimates closer to the last estimate than is justified.
- The sunk cost effect: otherwise known as throwing good money after bad.
- The herding instinct: the tendency to make the same kind of investments that others are making.
- Misestimating future hedonic states: people are not good at estimating how good or how bad they will feel in the future.
- False consensus: overestimating the degree that others agree with us.
He suggests measures one can take to counteract each of these biases.
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